A primer for taxable investors

The future of tax-efficient investing.

Tax-aware long/short strategies: what they are,
how they work, and whether one might be right for you.

Author
Joseph Malhas
Managing Partner
Published
May 2026
NPT Research · Research Primer
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Abstract

For a taxable investor in the US with an already well-constructed portfolio, the most important driver of terminal wealth over their investment lifetime is likely to be the taxes paid on realized gains. Investors can expect that these taxes will dwarf all management fees, transaction costs, and other costs combined.

This primer is about a class of strategies, often called tax-aware long/short, designed to help taxable investors construct potentially better portfolios while also significantly improving after-tax outcomes. Tax-aware strategies have grown quickly in recent years but remain widely misunderstood, hard to access, and rarely proposed outside of ultra high-net-worth circles.

The goal of this piece is to explain what tax-aware long/short strategies are, how they work, and whether they may make sense for you.

The tax-aware framework

Tax-aware long/short investing is a specific implementation of quantitative equity strategies. It uses the same framework quant firms apply to tax-agnostic portfolio construction. Namely, constructing a portfolio of long and short positions based on expected return models calibrated on a set of proprietary signals, research on equity factors (like value, momentum, quality), and large data sets. These firms then typically use an optimizer to evaluate the characteristics of the portfolio and how individual positions interact with one another (estimated correlations, market impact, volatility, etc.).

The main difference between tax-aware and tax-agnostic versions of these strategies is that the tax-aware optimizer's objective function carries an additional variable. Instead of solving for the highest expected return at a given level of risk, the tax-aware optimizer solves for the highest expected after-tax return (subject to financing and transaction costs).

Over the last several years, AQR Capital Management has published fantastic, in-depth research and articles on tax-aware investing. Their work is essential reading, and largely written for the institutional and advisory channels that allocate to these strategies. This piece is for the investor on the other side of that conversation: the individual or family weighing whether such a strategy belongs in their own portfolio.

Why taxes matter, probably more than you think.

Imagine a high-net-worth investor whose equity portfolio earns 8% annually before taxes. How much of that survives to terminal wealth depends on how often she realizes gains. At the roughly 37% combined federal and state rate that applies to many HNW investors (23.8% federal LTCG plus ~13% in high-tax states), the outcome spans a wide range.1

In the worst case, realizing all gains annually, she compounds at roughly 5% after tax and a $10M portfolio grows to ~$44M over 30 years. A more typical managed account, realizing roughly half of gains annually, implies an after-tax return near 6.5% and a terminal value of ~$67M. A well-run tax-aware strategy, where annual realization falls to around 10% of gains, brings that return to roughly 7.7% and the same $10M to ~$93M, within striking distance of the ~$101M pre-tax outcome. The gap between what most investors typically experience and what tax-aware investing may deliver is roughly $26M on a $10M starting base.2

Exhibit 1Terminal wealth on a $10M base over 30 years, by annual gain realization.Source: NPT, illustrative
$10M$30M$50M$70M$90M$110M051015202530Years$101Mpre-tax (8.0%)$93Mtax-aware (7.7%)$67Mtypical (6.5%)$44Mfull annual realization (5.0%)$ terminal · 30 yr
Note. Each curve is a $10M initial portfolio compounding at the indicated after-tax return for 30 years. The pre-tax line is shown only for reference; investors pay tax on realized gains, and the after-tax curves below reflect that drag. The shaded distance between the typical-managed line and the tax-aware line is the structural advantage we are quantifying throughout this primer.

Inflation makes the picture worse. At 3% inflation the effective tax rate on realized gains rises from a nominal 23.8% to closer to 38%,3 because the tax code taxes nominal gains rather than real ones. Investors who think they are paying long-term capital gains rates are, in real terms, paying something much closer to ordinary income tax rates.

Exhibit 2Effective tax rate on real gains, by inflation regime.Nominal LTCG rate of 23.8%
0%12%24%36%48%60%Effective tax rate on real gainsNo inflation23.8%2% inflation~31.7%3% inflation~38.1%4% inflation~47.5%Nominal rate
Note. An investor earning an 8% nominal return at 3% inflation realizes 5% in real terms, but the IRS taxes the full 8%. Effective rate on real gain = 23.8% × (nominal ÷ real). The implication: investors should evaluate after-tax strategies on real after-tax outcomes, not nominal ones.

Tax-loss harvesting & direct indexing.

Conventional tax-loss harvesting was the genesis of tax-aware investing. The concept is simple: sell positions that are down, replace them with similar exposures (while observing the wash sale rules) and use or carry the losses forward to defer present or future gains.

This can be applied at the exchange traded fund (ETF) wrapper level, where an investor swaps one ETF for a similar one when the fund itself is down, or at the individual stock level.

These days, this is well-trodden ground, and most investment advisers offer it at little to no cost. However, one issue with tax-loss harvesting is that it requires your position to be down to trigger. After a long bull market, it likely produces little to no advantage.

Direct indexing is the same harvesting technique but seeks to track an index of your choice (the S&P 500, Russell 2000, etc.). The investor holds the underlying constituents of a target index and harvests the losers one by one. Even when the total index is up 8% on the year, individual names may be down, and that dispersion creates harvesting opportunities while maintaining exposure to a diversified index.

In the early years of a direct indexing program, research shows realized losses typically in the range of 0.5% to 1.5%4 of portfolio value annually, with cumulative losses peaking around 30%5 of initial capital before the loss curve flattens. As the portfolio appreciates (markets tend to go up over time), fewer positions are at a loss and harvesting yield falls.

Importantly, direct indexing also produces uncompensated tracking error (deviations from the benchmark that carry no expected return premium).

Direct indexing is now a common offering at almost every major investment advisory firm and has served as an important stepping stone in investing with tax efficiency in mind.

Tax-aware long/short.

For suitable investors, tax-aware long/short equity strategies may present a significant improvement in tax efficient investing. By adding new long and short positions (sometimes called “extensions”), the strategy offers two benefits: 1) the potential for pre-tax alpha (compensated deviation from a benchmark vs. uncompensated in direct indexing) and 2) the potential to generate substantial tax losses.

1) Pre-tax alpha

Overlaying a well-designed long/short strategy on top of your long-only portfolio adds an uncorrelated return stream. A long/short overlay should be market-neutral (not adding additional market risk to the total portfolio) and is expected to produce positive returns. By allowing the portfolio to short securities the model dislikes and to go long those it favors, the long/short structure enables a cleaner, higher-conviction expression of the manager's investment views than a long-only implementation allows.

Pre-tax alpha is a crucial component of tax-aware long/short strategies for two reasons. First, the financing costs of running a long/short book, roughly 50 to 80 basis points6 annually, need to be earned back through excess return before tax advantages can add anything on top.

Second, pre-tax alpha and tax alpha compound together on the same capital base. An investor who earns both ends up with a substantially larger after-tax advantage than either source alone would produce. Said another way, if the manager's long/short strategy produces strong returns, your portfolio grows faster pre-tax (outpacing the benchmark) and allows for the strategy to generate losses on a larger base (more loss generation potential). The opposite is also true. Negative alpha decays the portfolio's growth and loss generation potential over time.

This is why manager quality, investment approach, and track record should be primary considerations when evaluating these strategies, not just the tax benefits.

2) Bi-directional loss generation

In a rising market, short positions in stocks that rise generate harvestable losses for the portfolio. In a falling market, some of the long positions do the same. Because the long/short overlay is an active strategy, the portfolio is continually entering new positions. This implementation helps lessen the “decay curve” that conventional direct indexing runs into.

An AQR paper modeled tax-aware long/short structures (130/30 and 150/50 notional ratios) on the same capital base used for direct indexing.5 Within the first three years of inception, those structures realized cumulative net capital losses exceeding 100% of initially invested capital, while still generating meaningful pre-tax alpha. This means a $5M starting portfolio running the tax-aware strategy could deliver on the order of $5M in tax losses over a 3-year period. That is several times the direct indexing peak on the same dollar base, and the long/short curve does not flatten the same way the long-only one does.

Exhibit 3Cumulative net realized losses as a percentage of starting capital.Illustrative, AQR (2021)
0%50%100%150%200%250%300%012345678910Years since inceptionCumulative loss · % of capital= 100% of capital~265%150 / 50 tax-aware~180%130 / 30 tax-aware~30%direct indexing
Note. Direct indexing yields most of its losses early and flattens as the portfolio appreciates. Both tax-aware long/short profiles cross the 100% threshold within three years and keep generating losses because the active book continually opens new positions. The 150/50 profile produces a higher gross loss stream at the cost of higher financing and complexity.

The natural question is what happens at the end, when the strategy is liquidated and all the deferred gains come due. “Isn't this just delaying taxes I'll have to pay eventually?” is a common and fair question. Consistently across literature and empirical results, the deferral advantage survives full liquidation (the next section covers this in greater detail).

Another counterintuitive result in the research concerns the actual source of the net losses. The gross losses realized by a tax-aware version of a long/short strategy are not meaningfully different from the gross losses realized by a tax-agnostic version. What differs sharply is the gross realized gains.7 The tax-agnostic version realizes material gross gains over a multi-year window, while the tax-aware version realizes a small fraction of that. The strategy is not intended to work solely as a loss generator. It seeks pre-tax alpha and aggressively defers gains while taking the losses as they come.

Why deferral is the goal.

A dollar of deferred tax is not a dollar saved. It is a dollar still compounding inside the portfolio. Over a long time horizon, that compounding produces material differences in terminal after-tax wealth.

The most common pushback against deferral is that it is a bet against future tax rates, which may rise. While that is true, practitioners have tested scenarios across a range of future tax rate assumptions. At a 28.8% federal LTCG rate, deferral still wins for almost any reasonable horizon. At 43.4%,8 the rate that would apply if long-term gains were taxed as ordinary income at the top federal bracket, deferral still wins for 10-plus year horizons. Capital gains tax rates would have to reach ~70%9 before crystallizing today's gains beats deferring them.

For a long-term investor with legacy planning in mind, there is another lever as well. Unrealized gains held until death pass to heirs at a stepped-up basis, which means the deferred tax liability becomes zero at transfer.

Exhibit 4Deferral vs. crystallization across future tax-rate regimes.Illustrative
Future LTCG rateScenario10-yr horizon20+ yr horizon
23.8%
Current rate
Status quoDeferral winsDeferral wins
28.8%
Modest hike
+5%Deferral winsDeferral wins
43.4%
LTCG taxed as ordinary income
+19.6%Deferral winsDeferral wins
~70%
Historical peak
+46.2%Approximate break-evenApproximate break-even
Note. Across plausible (and even historically extreme) future tax regimes, deferring today's gains outperforms crystallizing them. The break-even threshold sits well above any rate proposed in modern policy discussions.

When these strategies make sense.

  1. Diversifying beyond more equity beta

    The long/short overlay adds a return stream that has low correlation with the rest of the portfolio. For an investor already broadly diversified in public and private equities, additional equity exposure is largely redundant (the returns move together). A market-neutral long/short strategy can be highly additive as it improves the portfolio's risk-adjusted return profile without layering on more market (beta) risk. For many investors reading about tax-aware long/short, this is a sometimes misunderstood but core benefit of the strategy.

  2. Offsetting a lumpy taxable event

    The strategy's loss generation capacity can be particularly valuable when a large gain is on the horizon (carried interest, business/real estate sale, secondary liquidity event, etc.). An investor with an established tax-aware long/short program can use the realized losses to partially or fully defer the gains from elsewhere in their investment portfolio. The strategy needs time to build a loss base, so investors with predictable capital gains events are best served by starting well in advance.

  3. Diversifying a concentrated position

    An investor holding large, concentrated equity positions (founder equity, vested employer stock, highly appreciated single stocks, etc.) faces a specific version of the tax problem: selling the concentration generates large immediate gains, but holding it carries uncompensated idiosyncratic risk. Tax-aware long/short can serve as an elegant solution for making diversification economically viable by generating offsetting losses as the investor systematically sells down their overly concentrated position over time.

  4. Long-horizon compounding and estate planning

    For an investor with a multi-decade horizon, the deferral advantage compounds every year the strategy runs. The terminal wealth gap between a deferred and a fully taxed portfolio grows nonlinearly with time. For investors planning to pass assets to heirs, the step-up in basis at death can eliminate the remaining deferred tax liability entirely.

What these strategies will not do.

Tax-aware long/short strategies require sufficient time to work properly. Alpha is difficult to generate and loss generation is a multi-year process. An investor expecting meaningful tax benefits within a short period will be disappointed.

Long/short strategies carry material financing and transaction costs, and those costs need to be earned back through real excess return. A long/short manager without the ability to realistically generate alpha (or worse, negative alpha) will potentially produce worse outcomes than a competent direct indexing program would.

While tracking error is expected and intentional, it is not necessarily suitable for all investors. A 150/50 structure can and will deviate from the S&P 500 (sometimes by several percentage points in a quarter10). It is much easier to accept tracking error at the onset of a new strategy, but sticking with it in real time is another story. An investor who loses sleep over intra-year benchmark deviations should be realistic with their expectations and tolerances.

The margin requirements and operational complexity associated with tax-aware long/short strategies are significant. The strategy requires deep quantitative/technical knowledge, institutional infrastructure, and high-quality risk monitoring.

These strategies are not tax shelters. To pass economic substance review under current tax law, a strategy must make sense on its own investment merits, independent of its tax treatment. The clearest evidence that well-designed tax-aware long/short strategies pass that test is that many non-taxable institutions use materially similar long/short equity strategies for their pre-tax merits. In other words, this should be a strategy you want to own on the investment merits alone, with tax alpha as a bonus.

Tying it all together.

Tax-aware long/short combines some of the best aspects of quantitative investment management with a degree of tax efficiency previously not accessible. It allows investors to add sources of uncorrelated return to their portfolio, improve diversification, and significantly enhance after-tax wealth outcomes.

I believe tax-aware strategies will be to the next decade what direct indexing was to the last. The structural argument is just as strong, the academic and empirical evidence is rigorous, and the after-tax gap is much larger than what other approaches deliver.

Even with substantial growth in recent years, tax-aware long/short remains concentrated in institutional and ultra-high-net-worth channels. The strategies are operationally complex, require extensive quantitative abilities to manage, and the underlying math is counterintuitive in places.

My hope is that this primer will serve as a guidepost for those interested in learning more.

Notes
  1. All three scenarios assume 8% annual pre-tax return, a 37% combined tax rate (23.8% federal, comprising the 20% long-term capital gains rate and 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax, plus approximately 13% for a high-income taxpayer in a high-tax state), and a 30-year horizon. The realization fraction f measures the share of annual gains taxed in the year earned; the remainder defers. Annual after-tax return = 8% × (1 − f × 37%). In practice, short-term gains face higher rates, dividends are taxed annually, and realization rates vary year to year. The three scenarios (f = 100%, 50%, 10%) are illustrative anchors.
  2. Annual after-tax return = 8% × (1 − f × 37%), and terminal value = $10M compounded at that rate for 30 years. Full realization (f = 100%): 5.04% per year; terminal value ≈ $44M. Partial realization (f = 50%): 6.52% per year; terminal value ≈ $67M. Tax-aware strategy (f = 10%): 7.70% per year; terminal value ≈ $93M. Pre-tax benchmark (f = 0%): 8.00% per year; terminal value ≈ $101M. The 37% combined rate reflects 23.8% federal (20% long-term capital gains rate plus 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax) and approximately 13% for a high-tax state such as California or New York.
  3. When inflation is present, the tax code taxes nominal gains rather than real ones. The effective real tax rate = 1 − [(r(1 − t) − π) / (r − π)], where r is the nominal return, t is the nominal tax rate, and π is the inflation rate. At r = 8%, t = 23.8%, and π = 3%: effective rate = 1 − [(6.10% − 3%) / (8% − 3%)] ≈ 38%.
  4. Vanguard (July 2024). “Tax-Loss Harvesting: Why a Personalized Approach Is Important.” Vanguard Research. Chaudhuri, S., Burnham, T., and Lo, A. (2020). “An Empirical Evaluation of Tax-Loss-Harvesting Alpha.” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 76, No. 3, pp. 99–108. Estimates vary by market conditions, portfolio size, and stock universe; the Vanguard study found a range of 0.47%–1.27% annually, consistent with the Chaudhuri et al. finding of approximately 1% before transaction costs. The 0.5%–1.5% range cited in the text reflects these more conservative provider estimates.
  5. AQR (July 2021). “Improving Direct Indexing: 130/30 and 150/50 Strategies.” Simulations of S&P 500 direct indexing programs in that paper showed cumulative net realized losses of approximately 25%–35% of initial capital over the first three to five years, with the loss curve flattening thereafter as embedded gains accumulate and fewer positions remain harvestable. Results vary with market conditions, portfolio size, and constituent count.
  6. Short-sale financing costs reflect the spread between prime broker lending rates and the rebate credited on short-sale proceeds, plus stock-borrow fees. For a diversified large-cap equity book with few hard-to-borrow names, annual costs have historically been in the 50–80 basis point range. Costs rise meaningfully for small-cap, high-short-interest, or concentrated positions. These figures reflect standard prime brokerage market rates and are widely disclosed in prime broker fee schedules.
  7. Krasner, S. and Sosner, N. (2024). “Loss Harvesting or Gain Deferral? A Surprising Source of Tax Benefits of Tax-Aware Long-Short Strategies.” Journal of Wealth Management, Summer 2024. This paper demonstrates that the primary driver of net tax benefits in tax-aware long/short strategies is aggressive gain deferral rather than incremental loss generation; the tax-aware version realizes a small fraction of the gross gains of a tax-agnostic equivalent.
  8. The 43.4% rate represents a scenario in which the long-term capital gains preference is repealed entirely: a 39.6% top ordinary income rate applied to capital gains (the top rate under pre-TCJA law) plus the 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax. This was the effective top federal rate proposed under several legislative scenarios, including elements of the Biden Administration's American Families Plan (2021). It represents a near-worst-case federal scenario for U.S. capital gains taxation.
  9. The intuition: a deferred dollar stays fully invested and compounds before the tax is paid, while a crystallized dollar immediately loses the tax amount from the compounding base. For the deferred strategy to underperform, the future tax rate must be high enough to offset the entire compounding advantage accumulated during the deferral period. AQR's “The Enduring Appeal of Gain Deferral” series models this across multi-period portfolio simulations and finds that for horizons of 10+ years, the break-even future capital gains rate needed to make crystallizing today worthwhile approaches 60–70% or higher.
  10. A 150/50 equity long/short strategy typically targets annualized tracking error of 3%–8% versus a cap-weighted benchmark. Converted to a quarterly figure (annualized ÷ √4), this implies quarterly deviations of roughly 1.5%–4% in an average period. During episodes of extreme factor performance (sharp value rallies, momentum crashes, or broad market dislocations) quarterly deviations can occasionally exceed 5%. These ranges are consistent with standard risk budgets for factor-based long/short equity strategies as commonly disclosed in manager disclosures and academic literature on active equity management.
Important
Disclosures

Regulatory status

NinePointTwo Capital LLC (“NPT”) is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and is registered with the National Futures Association (NFA) as a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) and Commodity Pool Operator (CPO). Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training.

Trading in futures contracts and other leveraged derivatives carries a high degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading futures and derivatives is substantial; leverage inherent in these instruments can magnify trading losses as well as gains. Investors should only consider investing in such strategies when the gearing effect of leverage and the risks of loss are fully understood. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

About this paper

This paper is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, fund, or investment vehicle. Such offers are made only via a formal Private Placement Memorandum or Investment Management Agreement. Nothing contained herein constitutes investment, legal, tax, or other advice, nor should it be relied upon in making an investment or other decision. NPT is not a law firm or a public accounting firm.

No tax or legal advice

While NPT's tax-aware strategies are designed to generate realized losses for tax-mitigation purposes, the effectiveness of these strategies depends on individual taxpayer circumstances and evolving tax laws. NPT does not guarantee any specific tax outcome or amount of loss harvesting. Clients and prospective clients should consult with their personal tax and legal professionals regarding their specific situation before implementing any strategy discussed herein.

Data and forward-looking statements

The data and analysis contained herein are based in part on theoretical and model portfolios derived from internal and third-party academic research. The information has been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable; however, NPT does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the information's accuracy or completeness. There can be no assurance that an investment strategy will be successful. Historic market trends are not reliable indicators of actual future market behavior or future performance of any particular investment, which may differ materially. The views expressed reflect the current views as of the date hereof, and NPT does not undertake to advise you of any changes in the views expressed. It should not be assumed that NPT will make investment recommendations in the future that are consistent with the views expressed herein. Charts, graphs, and illustrative examples provided herein are for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as the primary basis for any investment decision. Forward-looking statements and projections are subject to change without notice.

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Published · May 2026
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